8th to 12th January, 2015 - Bayreuth, Germany

CT2 Climate-Change Biogeography

Chair: Jessica Blois

Saturday, 13:00-15:00, H 21, RW II

13:00CT2.1: Christy McCain et al.: The importance of population variability to the accurate detection of climate change responses
13:15CT2.2: Morgane Barbet-Massin et al.: Testing the “space-for-time” substitution in biodiversity modeling and projection
13:30CT2.3: Ishan Agarwal et al.: Did montane refugia in peninsular India allow the persistence of mesic forest biota through Miocene climate change?
13:45CT2.4: Carlos E. González-Orozco et al.: Branches of the tree of life weakened under climate change
14:00CT2.5: Corinne Myers et al.: Determining the evolutionary impact of biogeographic characters under climate change using simulation studies
14:15CT2.6: Qin Li et al.: Global patterns and attributions of non-analogous climate for terrestrial plants in the past and future
14:30CT2.7: Anja Jaeschke et al.: Including ecological constraints of pathogen and vector in modelling vector-borne diseases: Risk assessment for Aedes albopictus and Dengue
14:45CT2.8: Frank La Sorte et al.: The implications of mid-latitude climate extremes for migratory birds
15:00Coffee Break (Foyer RW I)

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P2.1 Carlos Eduardo Arlé, Michelle Tavares Cardoso Andreu, Vanessa Schwan, Maria Lucia Lorini, Rafael Fortes

Assessing the exposure of Hemitriccus Mirandae (AVES, Tyrannidae) to future climate change

P2.2⚡ Maaike Bader, Gerhard Zotz, Hannah Loranger

Alpine treeline responses to experimental climate change: germination and seedling establishment

P2.3 Anne Bjorkman, Greg Henry, Mark Vellend

Climate adaptation is not enough: warming does not facilitate success of southern populations at northern latitudes in an Arctic tundra ecosystem

P2.4⚡ Juergen Boehmer, Linda Mertelmeyer, James D. Jacobi

Dynamics of canopy dieback in the montane rainforest belt of a tropical volcanic island

P2.5 Filippo Botta, Anders Svensson, David Nogués-Bravo

Consequences of abrupt climate change on biodiversity

P2.6⚡ Maria Brobrowski, U. Schickhoff

Modelling changing distribution ranges of Betula utilis in the Himalayan region under climate change conditions

P2.8⚡ César Capinha, Dennis Rödder, Henrique Pereira, Heike Kappes

Traits of European terrestrial gastropods indicate response to novel climates

P2.9⚡ Gudrun Carl, Daniel Doktor, Oliver Schweiger, Ingolf Kühn

The relationship of climate and land cover with vegetation phenology: a scale-specific analysis using wavelets across central Europe

P2.10 Cristiana Cerrato, Ramona Viterbi, Antonello Provenzale

State and expected changes of animal biodiversity in the northwestern Italian Alps

P2.11⚡ LuAnna L Dobson, Frank A La Sorte, Lisa L Manne, Bradford A Hawkins

The diversity and abundance of North American bird assemblages fail to track changing productivity

P2.12 Klara Dolos, Agnes Bauer, Steffen Albrecht

Estimating climate change impacts on forests: How does tree species distribution relate to tree growth and mortality?

P2.13⚡ Milen Duarte, Pablo Guerrero, Ramiro Bustamante

Climate refugia and impacts of global climate change on threatened status of endemic plant species in southwestern South America

P2.14⚡ Bettina Engelbrecht, Julian Gaviria, Delicia Pino, Ben Turner, Rick Condit

Drought as well as nutrients and herbivores shape tree distribution in tropical forests: implications under global climate change

P2.15⚡ Alba Estrada, Catarina Meireles, Ignacio Morales-Castilla, Peter Poschlod, David Vieites, Miguel B. Araújo, Paul Caplat, Regan Early

What can life-history traits tell us about species’ ability to cope with climate change? A multi-taxon approach

P2.16 Gang Feng, Lingfeng Mao, Brody Sandel, Nathan G. Swenson, Jens-Christian Svenning

Plant endemism patterns across China are shaped by glacial-interglacial climate change

P2.17 Rui F. Fernandes, João P. Honrado, Antoine Guisan, Alice Roxo, João Martins, Joana R. Vicente

Using models and connectivity analysis to predict current and future patterns of invasion in a transfrontier context – a case study of Acacia dealbata invasion in the Galicia-North of Portugal Euro-region

P2.18⚡ Rosalina Gabriel, Jacques Bardat, Olivier Flores, Juana Gonzalez-Mancebo, Terry Hedderson, Dominique Strasberg, Silvia Calvo Aranda, Márcia C. M. Coelho, Débora S. G. Henriques, Raquel Hernandez-Hernandez, Lovanomanjanahary Marline, Nicholas Wilding, Claudine Ah-Peng

Elevation gradients in islands: Variation in bryophyte community structure at different spatial scales

P2.19 Antonio González-Hernández, Julio Peñas, Diego Nieto-Lugilde, Francisca Alba-Sánchez

Lean pattern in an altitude range shift of a tree species (Abies pinsapo Boiss.)

P2.21⚡ Laura Hernández, Isabel Cañellas, Fernando Montes, Helios Sainz-Ollero, Rut Sánchez de Dios

Bioclimatic transition zones as bridges for migration of tree species under global change.

P2.22⚡ Christian Hof, Imran Khaliq, Roland Prinzinger, Katrin Böhning-Gaese, Markus Pfenninger

The global variation of thermal tolerances: what can the integration of physiology and biogeography tell us about species’ vulnerability to climate change?

P2.23 Emily Hollenbeck, Dov Sax

Elevational distributions of tropical epiphyte species indicate potential risk due to climate change

P2.24 Daniel Hornstein, Ewald Jörg

Characteristics of beech forests communities at their warm dry distribution limit

P2.25 Zheng Huaizhou, Zhu Jinmao, Zhong Xiaohui, Zheng Liwei, Duan Lili, Zhang Yunfei

Plant water-use strategies in serious soil erosion area: surviving the experimental drought 

P2.26 Dave Jenkins

Terrestrial primary production scaling is unimodal and hierarchical

P2.27 Anke Jentsch, SIGNAL Consortiu

Thresholds of European grassland resilience in the face of climatic extremes - The SIGNAL Experiment

P2.28 Imran Khaliq, Susanne A. Fritz, Katrin Böhning-Gaese, Markus Pfenninger, Christian Hof

Endotherms in a warming world: limits to metabolic heat generation and phylogenetic constraints

P2.29⚡ Robert Koch, Markus Günther, Birgit Kleinschmit

Spatial patterns of floristic richness and threatened plant species of Caatinga biome (Brazil) under climate change conditions

P2.30 Martin Kopecký, František Máliš, Petr Petřík, Jozef Vladovič

Increasing precipitation buffers plant species against climate warming

P2.32⚡ Hongyan Liu, Fengjun Zhao, Xu Liu, Shuang Qiu

How will climate change alter vegetation geography in the temperate steppe of China?

P2.33⚡ Ziyu Ma, Brody Sandel, Jens-Christian Svenning

Continental-scale phylogenetic assemblage patterns in angiosperm and gymnosperm trees across North America

P2.34⚡ Andrey Malyshev, Carl Beierkuhnlein, Hugh A. L. Henry, Mohammed A. S. Arfin Khan, Anke Jensch, Manuel Steinbauer, Juergen Dengler, Evelin Willner, Juergen Kreyling

Plant responses to climatic extremes: within-species variation equals among-species variation

P2.35⚡ Aigi Margus, Tiit Teder

Temperature-size rule in insects: evidence from natural populations

P2.36 A.L. Márquez, R. Real

Broad-extent vs small extent distribution models: an alternative by updating broad-extent models with small-extent data

P2.37 Chunjing Qiu, Zehao Shen

How does contemporary climate vs. climate change velocity affect endemic plant species richness in China? 

P2.38 Viktoriia Radchuk, Jörns Fickel, Andreas Wilting, Norbert Marwan, Jürgen Kurths, Christian Voigt, Alex Greenwood, Juliane Maaß, Renata Martins, Riddhi Patel, Stephanie Kramer-Schadt

Abrupt versus gradual environmental change: Effects on species adaptation

P2.39 Giovanni Rapacciuolo, Rosemary Gillespie, Sarah Hinman, Maggi Kelly, Michelle Koo, Kevin Koy, George Roderick, Charles Marshall

Berkeley Ecoinformatics Engine: Rescuing and integrating biological and environmental data in the face of global change

P2.40⚡ Francisco Rodriguez-Sanchez, Jordano Pedro

SDM ensembles cannot overcome bias: caveats for inferring range dynamics 

P2.41⚡ Rut Sánchez de Dios, Laura Hernández, Fernando Montes, Helios Sainz-Ollero

Fagus sylvatica leading edge in North-Western Iberia: Holocene migration inertia, forest recovery and recent climate change

P2.42⚡ David Sánchez-Fernández, Valeria Rizzo, Alexandra Cieslak, Arnaud Faille, Javier Fresneda, Ignacio Ribera

The fate of deep subterranean biodiversity under climate change

P2.43⚡ Udo Schickhoff, Maria Bobrowski, Juergen Boehner, Birgit Buerzle, Ram Chaudhary, Lars Gerlitz, Helge Heyken, Jelena Lange, Michael Mueller, Thomas Scholten, Niels Schwab, Ronja Wedegaertner

Do Himalayan treelines respond to recent climate change? An evaluation of sensitivity indicators

P2.44 Corinna Schillinger, Andreas Schweiger, Carl Beierkuhnlein

How gradual warming, extreme weather and landscape interactively affect ecosystem processes

P2.45⚡ Niels Schwab, Birgit Bürzle, Michael Müller, Udo Schickhoff, Thomas Scholten, Ram P. Chaudhary

Near natural treeline ecotone, species patterns and species transitions influenced by soil factors in Rolwaling Himal, Nepal

P2.46 Andreas Schweiger, Manuel Steinbauer, Carl Beierkuhnlein

Advantages on the dark side of insect colouration

P2.47⚡ Valerie Steen, Susan Skagen, Barry Noon, Gordon Reese

Resilience of freshwater wetland habitats for migrating shorebirds under climate change

P2.48 Matthew J. Strübig, Andreas Wilting, David Gaveau, Eric Meijaard, Robert J. Smith, The Borneo Mammal Distribution Consortium, Manuela Fischer, Kristian Metcalfe, Stephanie Kramer-Schadt

Targeted conservation planning accounting for the effects of climate and land-cover change on Borneo's terrestrial mammals

P2.49⚡ Shirin Taheri, Babak Naimi, Miguel Araújo

Have British birds extended northward?

P2.50 Nils Tjaden, Stephanie Thomas, Anja Jaeschke, Dominik Fischer, Carl Beierkuhnlein

Defining risk zones for Chikungunya Fever in Europe: A biogeographical approach.

P2.51 Tiago Vasconcelos, Bruno Nascimento

Potential climate-driven impacts on the distribution of generalist treefrogs in South America

P2.52 Carrie Wells, David Tonkyn

Range collapse in the Diana fritillary, Speyeria diana (Nymphalidae)

P2.53⚡ Marie Westover

Drivers of body size evolution in pikas (Ochotona) vary between taxonomic levels

P2.54 J. Eric Williams, Jessica L. Blois

The effects of dispersal ability and climate velocity on the extent of species range shifts

P2.55 Yue Xu, Zehao Shen

The exposure, sensitivity and vulnerability of natural vegetation in China to thermal climate variability (1901-2013): An multiple indicators-based approach

P2.56 Juliane Zenner, Thomas Müller, Katrin Böhning-Gaese, Susanne A. Fritz

Seasonal relationships of avian diversity with climate in Australia 

P2.57⚡ Dirk Zeuss, Roland Brandl, Martin Brändle, Carsten Rahbek, Stefan Brunzel

Global warming favours light-coloured insects in Europe

P2.58 Constantin Zohner, Susanne Renner

Does biogeographic origin influence leaf-out phenology?

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