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Lecture series in Ecology and Environmental Research WS 2011/12

Thursday 12:00-13:30 H 12, NW I


Prof. Dr. Hermann Held
Research Unit Sustainability & Global Change, Departments of Geosciences and Macroeconomics, University of Hamburg / KlimaCampus Hamburg (Homepage)
Thursday, 08.12.2011 17:00-18:30 :

Optimal Climate Investments under System Uncertainty

The ‘2° target’ – to limit the anthropogenically driven increase of global mean temperature to 2°C compared to preindustrial values – has been embraced under the UNFCCC framework at the Conference of the Parties 2010 in Cancún. In recent years, energy economics have derived welfare-optimal investment streams into low-emission energy mixes and associated costs. According to such analyses, auxiliary targets that are in line with the 2° target could be achieved at relatively low costs if energy investments were triggered rather swiftly.

While such analyses assume ‘perfect foresight’ of a benevolent ‘social planner’, an accompanying suite of experiments explicitly acknowledges the rather uncertain nature of key responses to human decisions within the climate as well as the technology system. We indicate an intrinsic need for generalisation within target approaches under uncertainty and highlight a thereby enforced convergence in approaches within climate economics. The role of uncertainty in decision-making is finally illustrated for the case of tipping point-like climate damages.

 

 


- eingeladen durch Michael Hauhs -

 



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DatelecturerTitle

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17:00-18:30
17.11.2011
Dr. Markus Neteler
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17:00-18:30
24.11.2011
Dr. Michael Radke
Dept. of Applied Environmental Science, Stockholm University
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17:00-18:30
01.12.2011
Prof. Dr. Massimo Menenti
Institute of Earth Observation and Space systems (DEOS), Faculty of AeroSpace Engineering, Delft University of Technology
Observation and modeling of land surface state and convective activity over the Qinghai - Tibet Plateau [Abstract]

17:00-18:30
08.12.2011
Prof. Dr. Hermann Held
Research Unit Sustainability & Global Change, Departments of Geosciences and Macroeconomics, University of Hamburg / KlimaCampus Hamburg
Optimal Climate Investments under System Uncertainty [Abstract]

17:00-18:30
15.12.2011
Prof. Dr. Stefan Schuster
Department of Animal Physiology, University of Bayreuth
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Monday
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16:00
19.12.2011
Prof. Andrew Meharg
Department of Biogeochemistry, University of Aberdeen, UK
Advanced speciation and localisation techniques to characterise arsenic in plants and soils [Abstract]
- Vortrag fällt aus -
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12.01.2012
Dr. Markus Reichstein
Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena
(entfällt: Current research initiatives on estimating the terrestrial carbon balance) [Abstract]

17:00-18:30
19.01.2012
Dr. Katharina Helming
Leibniz-Zentrum für Agrarlandschaftsforschung (ZALF) e. V., Müncheberg
Ex-ante impact assessment for policy making in land use and agriculture [Abstract]

17:00-18:30
26.01.2012
Dr. Markus Bernhardt-Römermann
Institut für Ökologie, Evolution & Diversität, Goethe-Universität Frankfurt am Main
Functional Diversity of Plant Communities [Abstract]

17:00-18:30
02.02.2012
Dr. Rainer Wirth
Department of Plant Ecology and Systematics, Universität Kaiserslautern
Trophic disruptions and biotic homogenization in fragmented forests: Unveiling success and impact of a neotropical key herbivore (leaf-cutting ants) [Abstract]

17:00-18:30
09.02.2012
Dr. Angelica Feurdean
Biodiversität- und Klimaforschungszentrum (BiK-F), Senckenberg, Univ. Frankfurt a. M.
The relevance of long-term data in understanding contemporary and future biotic responses: examples from the Carpathian region [Abstract]

17:00-18:45
16.02.2012
Prof. Francesco Dondi
Department of Chemistry, University of Ferrara, Italy
Sustainability on Campus: Actions at the University of Ferrara [Abstract]
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