Disturbance modeling: Understanding and predicting forest disturbance dynamics

Presenting person: Dr. Rupert Seidl, Institute of Silviculture, University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences (BOKU), Vienna (Homepage)
Th. 2013-10-17

Disturbances are important drivers of ecosystem dynamics and have a lasting impact on the structure, composition, and functioning of ecosystems. Mediated by changing climatic conditions and altered human land use disturbance regimes are intensifying in many forest ecosystems, a trend with detrimental effects on the provisioning of ecosystem goods and services. In order to prevent such impacts and adapt ecosystem management to intensifying disturbance regimes understanding their drivers and predicting their possible trajectories is of paramount importance.
In my talk I will review approaches of modeling forest disturbances, and suggest a general framework of process-based disturbance modeling. I will furthermore give examples of both explanatory and predictive disturbance modeling, focusing on disturbance from wind, bark beetles, and wildfire. In particular I will highlight the importance of considering multiple scales for understanding drivers disturbance regimes, and will elucidate on the role of dynamic interactions in space and time (e.g., between disturbance agents, between vegetation and disturbance dynamics) for predicting future trajectories of disturbance regimes.



Export as iCal: Export iCal
Upcoming ...


Fr. 2022-07-01
3. Bayerische Biodiversitätstage in Bayern 2022
BayCEER Colloquium:
Th. 2022-06-30 now
Postponed to WS 22/23: Plant diversity in a changing world: from individuals to communities
Bayreuther Stadtgespräch(e):
We. 2022-07-06
Der Süden Neuseelands – Ursprüngliche Ökosysteme und ihre Bedrohung
Ecological-Botanical Garden:
Su. 2022-07-03
Führung | "Mäusedorn und Katzenschwanz: Katzen und Botanik"
Su. 2022-07-03
Ausstellungseröffnung | "Natur und Kunst" - Malerei und Graphik von Christel Gollner
Weather research site
Luftdruck (356m): 969.0 hPa
Lufttemperatur: 19.9 °C
Niederschlag: 0.0 mm/24h
Sonnenschein: <1 h/d
Wind (Höhe 17m): 2.2 km/h
Wind (Max.): 3.2 km/h
Windrichtung: W

...more
Globalstrahlung: -1 W/m²
Lufttemperatur: 16.2 °C
Niederschlag: 0.0 mm/24h
Sonnenschein: <1 h/d
Wind (Höhe 32m): 0.0 km/h

...more
This site makes use of cookies More information