The aim of the cross-sectional project is to elaborate the spatial, temporal and economic risk for vector-borne zoonoses in Germany and Europe:
Hazard maps: Ecologically suitable areas for vectors and pathogens are modeled using spatial and temporal high-resolution species occurrences, climate and remote sensing data. Additionally, the distribution of host species and gates of entry of vectors or pathogens are taken into account.
Vulnerability analysis: By the means of vulnerability indicators (e.g. human population density, livestock) areas of high expected high vulnerability are highlighted.
Risk maps: The combination of hazard maps and vulnerability analysis shows the areas at high-risk for the vector-borne disease transmission. A temporal analysis will be carried out, which shows the windows of opportunity for disease transmission. In addition, the economic effects associated with a possible outbreak are modeled.
Capacity building: Young scientists can acquire new skills and knowledge in risk assessment of vector-borne diseases during a science school which will be offered at the University of Bayreuth. The developed methods and examples are provided on an online platform.
Latest publication: Tjaden, N; Suk, JE; Fischer, D; Thomas, S M; Beierkuhnlein, C; Semenza, JC: Modelling the effects of global climate change on Chikungunya transmission in the 21st century, Scientific Reports, 7(3813) (2017)
Coordination: Dr. Stephanie Thomas (University of Bayreuth, Department of Biogeography)
Funding period: 24 months
Project start: October 2016
Funding organisation: BMBF 01KI1601
BayCEER Colloquium: |
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Th. 2024-04-25 now Perspectives and challenges in the restoration and conservation of two isolated habitats: gypsum and cliffs |
BayCEER Short Courses: |
Fr. 2024-04-26 Mobile Film Making Workshop (for students of BayCEER) |
Ecological-Botanical Garden: |
Fr. 2024-04-26 Aktion | Kräuterreich & regional: Backkunst im ÖBG (zus. mit HWK) |
Fr. 2024-04-26 Führung | Erdbeer-Minze und Zimmerknoblauch: Gewürzkräuter |
Su. 2024-04-28 Führung | Den Sängern auf der Spur: Vogelstimmen im ÖBG (zus. mit LBV) |